Betting Lines
| Spread | BC -10.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 129.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BC +8 | 136 | Won |
| Massey | BC -14.7 (-6.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.1 (-7.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BC -11.1 (-3.1) | 143.6 (-7.6) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BC -16.8 (-8.8) | 141.6 (-5.6) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BC -17.3 (-9.3) | 139.9 (-3.9) | 85% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 7, 2023 | BC 89 – 70 FAIR |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BC | FAIR |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-20 | 15-18 |
| Conference | 6-14 | 8-12 |
| Home | 9-7 | 6-9 |
| Away | 2-10 | 8-8 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-0 | 0-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.9 | 66.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.1 | 66.3 |
| Massey | 7.4 (#38) | 4.8 (#68) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.19 (#47) | -0.21 (#177) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.87 (#34) | -0.17 (#176) |
| RPI | 1.000 (#1) | 0.750 (#33) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BC | FAIR |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 54.6% | 42.9% |
| 3PT% | 31.2% | 34.6% |
| REB / G | 34.0 | 35.0 |
| OREB / G | 7.0 | 11.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.24 | 0.82 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 59.3% | 50.0% |
| TOV% | 15.4% | 22.3% |
| ORB% | 23.7% | 29.7% |
| FT Rate | 27.8% | 15.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.3% | 54.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.9% | 18.4% |
| DRB% | 77.1% | 80.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 11.1% | 47.1% |
Game Analysis
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