Betting Lines
| Spread | UTC -12.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Under |
| Money | UTC -800 UNCA +550 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UTC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UTC +30 | 120 | Won |
| Massey | UTC -25.0 (+5.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 152.2 (-32.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UTC -15.2 (+14.8) | 151.0 (-31.0) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UTC -21.4 (+8.6) | 148.9 (-28.9) | 88% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 8, 2021 | UTC 78 – 73 UNCA |
| Dec 17, 2020 | UTC 69 – 66 UNCA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UTC | UNCA |
|---|---|---|
| Neutral | 3-1 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-0 | 0-1 |
| Massey | 7.7 (#35) | -5.3 (#273) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.91 (#16) | -0.34 (#201) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.72 (#18) | -0.52 (#212) |
| RPI | — | 0.500 (#103) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UTC | UNCA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.6% | 45.8% |
| 3PT% | 35.3% | 52.6% |
| REB / G | 37.0 | 28.0 |
| OREB / G | 12.0 | 10.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.33 | 0.88 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.0% | 54.2% |
| TOV% | 9.7% | 21.6% |
| ORB% | 38.7% | 28.6% |
| FT Rate | 33.9% | 22.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 44.7% | 60.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.8% | 8.1% |
| DRB% | 62.5% | 56.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.8% | 22.5% |
Game Analysis
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