Betting Lines
| Spread | GW -1.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 147.0 Under |
| Money | UCSD -105 GW -115 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UCSD win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UCSD +20 | 130 | Won |
| Massey | UCSD -20.1 (-0.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.3 (-13.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UCSD -17.7 (+2.3) | 143.9 (-13.9) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UCSD -15.2 (+4.8) | 144.9 (-14.9) | 86% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 23, 2022 | UCSD 75 – 70 GW |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UCSD | GW |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-16 | 12-18 |
| Conference | 0-0 | 8-9 |
| Home | 9-4 | 8-5 |
| Away | 4-11 | 3-10 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-0 | 1-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.4 | 68.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.6 | 72.8 |
| Massey | 8.3 (#29) | 0.3 (#166) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.91 (#20) | 0.16 (#152) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.74 (#17) | 0.20 (#152) |
| RPI | — | 0.750 (#33) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UCSD | GW |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 52.2% | 39.8% |
| 3PT% | 45.5% | 31.7% |
| REB / G | 30.0 | 39.5 |
| OREB / G | 1.0 | 11.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.77 | 0.82 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 63.0% | 44.9% |
| TOV% | 18.2% | 18.8% |
| ORB% | 4.5% | 27.7% |
| FT Rate | 47.8% | 18.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 44.2% | 39.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.2% | 18.6% |
| DRB% | 74.4% | 63.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.3% | 36.0% |
Game Analysis
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