Betting Lines
| Spread | BOIS -1.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 134.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UCI win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UCI +8 | 108 | Won |
| Massey | UCI -9.7 (-1.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 129.1 (-21.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 83% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UCI -3.8 (+4.2) | 133.9 (-25.9) | 61% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UCI -2.7 (+5.3) | 133.3 (-25.3) | 54% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UCI | BOIS |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-10 | 27-8 |
| Conference | 9-5 | 15-3 |
| Home | 9-1 | 13-3 |
| Away | 6-7 | 9-3 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 5-2 |
| Last 5 | 0-1 | 1-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 63.9 | 67.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 61.4 | 61.0 |
| Massey | 0.3 (#162) | 2.7 (#109) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.40 (#226) | 0.40 (#113) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.55 (#219) | 0.59 (#116) |
| RPI | — | — |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UCI | BOIS |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 30.6% | 51.6% |
| 3PT% | 19.0% | 20.0% |
| REB / G | 35.0 | 31.0 |
| OREB / G | 12.0 | 9.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.56 | 1.33 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 33.9% | 54.8% |
| TOV% | 13.9% | 13.2% |
| ORB% | 28.6% | 28.1% |
| FT Rate | 14.5% | 12.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 44.3% | 49.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.5% | 26.4% |
| DRB% | 79.3% | 81.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.3% | 14.0% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.