Betting Lines
| Spread | LEH -7.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 136.0 Under |
| Money | LEH -330 NJIT +260 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LEH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NJIT +17 | 129 | Lost |
| Massey | LEH -24.3 (-41.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.8 (-18.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LEH -12.7 (-29.7) | 144.1 (-15.1) | 85% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | LEH -14.1 (-31.1) | 144.9 (-15.9) | 78% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LEH -5.9 (-22.9) | 144.2 (-15.2) | 66% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LEH | NJIT |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-19 | 11-18 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 6-12 |
| Home | 9-7 | 6-8 |
| Away | 4-12 | 5-10 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L5 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.4 | 62.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.6 | 71.0 |
| Massey | 4.5 (#75) | -7.8 (#304) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.22 (#180) | -2.28 (#328) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.15 (#173) | -3.34 (#329) |
| RPI | 0.750 (#33) | 0.250 (#211) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LEH | NJIT |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.4% | 34.0% |
| 3PT% | 31.2% | 28.6% |
| REB / G | 43.0 | 40.0 |
| OREB / G | 6.0 | 13.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.64 | 0.20 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.8% | 39.6% |
| TOV% | 27.1% | 29.0% |
| ORB% | 17.6% | 37.1% |
| FT Rate | 19.3% | 22.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 38.2% | 53.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 13.4% | 24.5% |
| DRB% | 74.0% | 96.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.0% | 31.8% |
Game Analysis
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