Betting Lines
| Spread | BRWN -15.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 145.0 Under |
| Money | BRWN -1300 CCSU +800 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BRWN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BRWN +18 | 132 | Won |
| Massey | BRWN -28.4 (-10.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 157.8 (-25.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 92% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BRWN -14.0 (+4.0) | 150.5 (-18.5) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BRWN -16.3 (+1.7) | 146.9 (-14.9) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BRWN -18.4 (-0.4) | 150.7 (-18.7) | 89% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 30, 2022 | BRWN 59 – 51 CCSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BRWN | CCSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-16 | 8-24 |
| Conference | 5-9 | 5-13 |
| Home | 6-7 | 5-7 |
| Away | 6-7 | 4-15 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.3 | 61.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.7 | 72.1 |
| Massey | 3.2 (#97) | -13.1 (#330) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.30 (#185) | -0.36 (#211) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.32 (#187) | -0.58 (#225) |
| RPI | 0.625 (#80) | 0.500 (#103) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BRWN | CCSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 50.7% | 35.3% |
| 3PT% | 36.8% | 33.3% |
| REB / G | 30.0 | 23.0 |
| OREB / G | 10.0 | 11.0 |
| AST / TO | 2.60 | 0.28 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.5% | 40.2% |
| TOV% | 6.9% | 38.8% |
| ORB% | 27.8% | 35.5% |
| FT Rate | 8.2% | 13.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 58.9% | 67.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 10.1% | 19.7% |
| DRB% | 60.6% | 46.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 33.9% | 24.2% |
Game Analysis
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