Betting Lines
| Spread | BRWN -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 134.5 Under |
| Money | CCSU +180 BRWN -175 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CCSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BRWN +8 | 110 | Lost |
| Massey | CCSU -6.2 (-14.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 137.8 (-27.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 37% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 19% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CCSU -1.7 (-9.7) | 135.0 (-25.0) | 54% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BRWN -0.8 (-7.2) | 130.3 (-20.3) | 34% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CCSU -1.5 (-9.5) | 132.6 (-22.6) | 48% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CCSU -2.4 (-10.4) | 135.1 (-25.1) | 51% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 14, 2021 | BRWN 75 – 57 CCSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CCSU | BRWN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-22 | 14-13 |
| Conference | 7-9 | 7-7 |
| Home | 6-7 | 7-5 |
| Away | 4-14 | 7-8 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.0 | 69.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.2 | 69.3 |
| Massey | -8.5 (#314) | -8.3 (#311) |
| Bradley-Terry | -3.64 (#356) | -1.78 (#310) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -5.34 (#355) | -2.35 (#300) |
| RPI | 0.391 (#312) | 0.344 (#344) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CCSU | BRWN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.6% | 43.2% |
| 3PT% | 32.6% | 34.5% |
| REB / G | 29.3 | 32.5 |
| OREB / G | 7.7 | 9.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.01 | 0.90 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.0% | 50.4% |
| TOV% | 18.7% | 21.5% |
| ORB% | 22.4% | 24.9% |
| FT Rate | 13.9% | 16.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 57.3% | 56.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.7% | 23.9% |
| DRB% | 68.6% | 83.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.8% | 22.2% |
Game Analysis
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