Betting Lines
| Spread | GONZ -7.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 148.5 Over |
| Money | GONZ -320 TEX +260 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | GONZ win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | GONZ +12 | 160 | Won |
| Massey | GONZ -9.0 (+3.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.1 (+13.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 92% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | GONZ -6.6 (+5.4) | 149.7 (+10.3) | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | GONZ -8.5 (+3.5) | 145.0 (+15.0) | 71% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 21, 2026 | TEX 74 – 68 GONZ |
| Nov 17, 2022 | TEX 93 – 74 GONZ |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | GONZ | TEX |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 28-4 | 22-12 |
| Conference | 13-1 | 10-8 |
| Home | 16-0 | 16-3 |
| Away | 5-1 | 4-7 |
| Neutral | 7-3 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-0 | 1-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 87.2 | 68.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.2 | 60.6 |
| Massey | 7.6 (#36) | 10.7 (#13) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.53 (#101) | 0.40 (#125) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.85 (#83) | 0.65 (#105) |
| RPI | — | — |
| Shooting & Four Factors | GONZ | TEX |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 54.4% | 64.0% |
| 3PT% | 28.6% | 59.1% |
| REB / G | 45.0 | 32.0 |
| OREB / G | 15.0 | 8.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.53 | 1.91 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 58.8% | 77.0% |
| TOV% | 18.9% | 17.3% |
| ORB% | 41.7% | 34.8% |
| FT Rate | 25.0% | 30.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 41.5% | 38.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 25.9% | 28.1% |
| DRB% | 66.7% | 60.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 13.8% | 20.4% |
Game Analysis
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