Betting Lines
| Spread | GONZ -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Under |
| Money | GONZ -238 TEX +195 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | GONZ win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TEX +6 | 142 | Lost |
| Massey | GONZ -8.2 (-14.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 152.3 (-10.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 83% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 83% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | GONZ -8.5 (-14.5) | 145.2 (-3.2) | 79% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | GONZ -6.9 (-12.9) | 144.1 (-2.1) | 78% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | GONZ -7.5 (-13.5) | 146.5 (-4.5) | 80% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | GONZ -8.6 (-14.6) | 144.5 (-2.5) | 79% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 17, 2022 | TEX 93 – 74 GONZ |
| Nov 14, 2021 | GONZ 86 – 74 TEX |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | GONZ | TEX |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 31-4 | 21-15 |
| Conference | 16-2 | 9-9 |
| Home | 15-0 | 12-5 |
| Away | 8-2 | 5-6 |
| Neutral | 8-2 | 4-4 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 84.3 | 81.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.2 | 76.1 |
| Massey | 22.2 (#9) | 14.0 (#38) |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.84 (#6) | 2.23 (#42) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 4.73 (#6) | 3.16 (#34) |
| RPI | 0.624 (#11) | 0.547 (#74) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | GONZ | TEX |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 50.7% | 47.5% |
| 3PT% | 33.5% | 34.8% |
| REB / G | 40.1 | 37.3 |
| OREB / G | 12.1 | 12.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.89 | 1.13 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.8% | 53.8% |
| TOV% | 13.7% | 15.3% |
| ORB% | 35.0% | 35.9% |
| FT Rate | 22.0% | 34.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.0% | 50.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.3% | 13.2% |
| DRB% | 74.1% | 73.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.4% | 30.0% |
Game Analysis
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