Betting Lines
| Spread | TENN -16.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 139.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TENN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TENN +32 | 156 | Won |
| Massey | TENN -14.0 (+18.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.3 (+7.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TENN -12.7 (+19.3) | 146.0 (+10.0) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TENN -16.6 (+15.4) | 145.2 (+10.8) | 83% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TENN | ETSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 27-8 | 15-17 |
| Conference | 14-4 | 7-11 |
| Home | 16-0 | 8-6 |
| Away | 6-5 | 4-10 |
| Neutral | 5-3 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-0 | 0-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.5 | 70.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 62.9 | 73.2 |
| Massey | 5.3 (#59) | 3.4 (#93) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.40 (#124) | -0.51 (#240) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.62 (#110) | -0.53 (#215) |
| RPI | — | 0.250 (#211) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TENN | ETSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.9% | 41.9% |
| 3PT% | 42.5% | 30.3% |
| REB / G | 46.0 | 29.0 |
| OREB / G | 23.0 | 9.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.80 | 2.29 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.9% | 50.0% |
| TOV% | 14.3% | 11.1% |
| ORB% | 47.9% | 25.7% |
| FT Rate | 9.1% | 8.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.9% | 53.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 29.5% | 19.2% |
| DRB% | 65.7% | 66.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 5.2% | 25.0% |
Game Analysis
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