Betting Lines
| Spread | VCU -11.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 133.5 Under |
| Money | VCU -650 WAG +450 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | VCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WAG +14 | 102 | Lost |
| Massey | VCU -8.3 (-22.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 125.6 (-23.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 93% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 96% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | VCU -4.9 (-18.9) | 133.6 (-31.6) | 66% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | VCU -5.9 (-19.9) | 133.4 (-31.4) | 62% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WAG -0.1 (-13.9) | 130.3 (-28.3) | 48% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 4, 2025 | VCU 103 – 74 WAG |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | VCU | WAG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-10 | 21-6 |
| Conference | 14-4 | 15-3 |
| Home | 12-4 | 13-1 |
| Away | 9-3 | 10-5 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 1-0 | 1-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.1 | 73.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 62.4 | 65.4 |
| Massey | -2.5 (#223) | 1.2 (#139) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.35 (#130) | 0.14 (#154) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.35 (#143) | 0.18 (#153) |
| RPI | 0.500 (#103) | 0.250 (#211) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | VCU | WAG |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.9% | 55.2% |
| 3PT% | 14.3% | 38.9% |
| REB / G | 31.0 | 36.0 |
| OREB / G | 4.0 | 9.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.63 | 1.13 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 44.2% | 61.2% |
| TOV% | 26.8% | 22.0% |
| ORB% | 13.8% | 31.0% |
| FT Rate | 44.2% | 10.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 37.1% | 43.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 28.9% | 26.9% |
| DRB% | 67.5% | 73.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.0% | 38.3% |
Game Analysis
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