Betting Lines
| Spread | WYO -24.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Under |
| Money | WYO -6000 UAPB +1600 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WYO win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WYO +40 | 130 | Won |
| Massey | WYO -22.1 (+17.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 153.0 (-23.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WYO -18.3 (+21.7) | 147.5 (-17.5) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WYO -22.1 (+17.9) | 146.8 (-16.8) | 89% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WYO | UAPB |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 25-9 | 7-24 |
| Conference | 13-5 | 5-13 |
| Home | 14-1 | 5-7 |
| Away | 8-5 | 2-17 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 1-0 | 0-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.5 | 64.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.7 | 79.3 |
| Massey | 8.7 (#25) | -1.4 (#199) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.40 (#126) | -0.57 (#255) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.64 (#107) | -0.76 (#258) |
| RPI | — | 0.500 (#103) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WYO | UAPB |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 54.8% | 37.6% |
| 3PT% | 39.1% | 29.2% |
| REB / G | 37.0 | 29.5 |
| OREB / G | 7.0 | 11.5 |
| AST / TO | 2.67 | 0.90 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 62.1% | 45.0% |
| TOV% | 9.2% | 13.9% |
| ORB% | 24.1% | 25.3% |
| FT Rate | 12.9% | 14.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 36.2% | 63.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.2% | 22.6% |
| DRB% | 75.0% | 63.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 8.6% | 21.3% |
Game Analysis
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