Betting Lines
| Spread | HALL -11.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 143.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | HALL win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | HALL +36 | 124 | Won |
| Massey | HALL -19.1 (+16.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 150.2 (-26.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 90% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 94% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | HALL -13.2 (+22.8) | 150.2 (-26.2) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | HALL -15.4 (+20.6) | 148.7 (-24.7) | 83% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | HALL | YALE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-11 | 19-12 |
| Conference | 11-8 | 11-3 |
| Home | 13-3 | 10-3 |
| Away | 6-5 | 6-6 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 3-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-0 | 1-0 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.6 | 71.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.4 | 70.0 |
| Massey | 10.7 (#12) | 3.6 (#89) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.40 (#122) | 0.53 (#103) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.65 (#104) | 0.83 (#87) |
| RPI | — | — |
| Shooting & Four Factors | HALL | YALE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.4% | 54.2% |
| 3PT% | 54.2% | 42.9% |
| REB / G | 47.0 | 32.0 |
| OREB / G | 10.0 | 5.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.36 | 1.08 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 58.6% | 61.9% |
| TOV% | 14.3% | 17.0% |
| ORB% | 27.8% | 17.2% |
| FT Rate | 28.1% | 30.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 28.9% | 43.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.7% | 17.6% |
| DRB% | 78.7% | 69.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.8% | 36.8% |
Game Analysis
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