Betting Lines
| Spread | MICH -23.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 145.0 Under |
| Money | MICH -2400 PV +1200 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MICH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MICH +28 | 126 | Won |
| Massey | MICH -1.5 (+26.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 163.7 (-37.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 73% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MICH -4.6 (+23.4) | 153.3 (-27.3) | 66% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MICH -2.8 (+25.2) | 150.7 (-24.7) | 65% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MICH | PV |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-15 | 8-19 |
| Conference | 11-9 | 8-10 |
| Home | 10-5 | 5-4 |
| Away | 5-7 | 3-15 |
| Neutral | 4-3 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-0 | 0-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.6 | 69.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.4 | 76.3 |
| Massey | -0.0 (#171) | -1.5 (#200) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.40 (#119) | -0.58 (#257) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.56 (#120) | -0.79 (#261) |
| RPI | — | 0.500 (#103) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MICH | PV |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 54.2% | 47.0% |
| 3PT% | 40.0% | 30.6% |
| REB / G | 39.0 | 23.0 |
| OREB / G | 11.0 | 6.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.60 | 0.52 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 59.3% | 51.7% |
| TOV% | 13.8% | 18.4% |
| ORB% | 30.6% | 19.7% |
| FT Rate | 30.5% | 21.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 44.9% | 67.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 12.2% | 26.7% |
| DRB% | 70.0% | 58.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.1% | 28.4% |
Game Analysis
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