And the only safe place to live is on an Indian reservation. "Ball of Confusion" - The Temptations
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Baseline Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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38–9 on winners spread MAE 7.6 47 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Texas Tech @ Colorado -5.6 156.6 27% 73–71 ✓
San Diego @ Pacific +7.8 144.0 79% 70–77 ✓
Southern @ Florida A&M +0.3 150.1 56% 59–67 ✓
Cal State Bakersfield @ Long Beach State +4.2 145.3 66% 75–81 ✓
Cal State Northridge @ Cal State Fullerton +3.8 166.3 69% 79–86 ✓
Incarnate Word @ Lamar -0.1 137.5 51% 51–63 ✗
Campbell @ Elon +4.3 157.0 72% 82–83 ✓
Texas @ Alabama +13.7 173.0 83% 92–88 ✗
San Francisco @ Pepperdine -7.6 136.3 21% 80–60 ✓
Oregon State @ Portland +1.6 144.0 61% 76–82 ✓
Maryland @ UCLA +13.9 147.9 87% 55–67 ✓
San José State @ Grand Canyon +12.9 139.5 87% 58–76 ✓
St. Thomas-Minnesota @ Oral Roberts -6.2 143.3 26% 82–71 ✓
North Dakota @ Kansas City -0.5 145.0 44% 81–79 ✓
UC San Diego @ UC Riverside -10.0 144.9 16% 69–66 ✓
Weber State @ Northern Colorado +5.7 161.0 74% 76–71 ✗
Idaho State @ Northern Arizona -3.6 137.8 38% 81–79 ✓
Southern Utah @ California Baptist +14.4 144.2 89% 55–58 ✓
Middle Tennessee @ New Mexico State +1.2 142.9 59% 59–55 ✗
Mississippi State @ Kentucky +10.9 152.1 85% 68–92 ✓
UT Martin @ Southern Indiana -6.9 135.6 22% 73–56 ✓
Utah State @ Boise State -2.1 145.6 41% 93–68 ✓
Wyoming @ Nevada +1.4 143.4 60% 83–92 ✓
Loyola Marymount @ Santa Clara +12.9 148.1 86% 72–103 ✓
BYU @ Utah -14.5 157.2 12% 89–84 ✓
Fresno State @ San Diego State +10.6 146.1 84% 52–71 ✓
UC Irvine @ Hawai'i +7.1 138.1 69% 66–67 ✓
Illinois @ Iowa +2.0 137.1 56% 75–69 ✗
Saint Joseph's @ Richmond +12.4 151.3 85% 67–65 ✗
Memphis @ Florida Atlantic +3.6 144.9 69% 78–89 ✓
Cleveland State @ Detroit Mercy +7.9 154.5 82% 84–94 ✓
Canisius @ Iona +10.9 138.8 84% 48–74 ✓
Charlotte @ Rice -2.6 142.7 39% 74–73 ✓
UAB @ East Carolina -10.7 146.1 17% 87–85 ✓
Merrimack @ Saint Peter's +2.1 133.5 58% 63–76 ✓
Quinnipiac @ Sacred Heart -5.5 146.7 27% 70–60 ✓
Northern Kentucky @ Green Bay +0.2 144.0 53% 78–80 ✓
Purdue Fort Wayne @ Robert Morris +5.1 145.6 69% 79–74 ✗
Siena @ Mount St. Mary's -3.9 135.0 31% 67–50 ✓
Marist @ Rider -13.8 128.2 13% 71–49 ✓
Niagara @ Manhattan +5.6 138.7 77% 70–79 ✓
North Texas @ Wichita State +9.0 131.2 76% 67–78 ✓
Wright State @ Oakland +5.0 158.3 67% 94–84 ✗
IU Indianapolis @ Milwaukee +10.1 156.6 84% 83–95 ✓
Cincinnati @ UCF +6.2 147.7 76% 72–73 ✓
Northwestern @ Rutgers -6.3 141.4 36% 75–77 ✗
Ohio State @ Washington +1.9 150.1 55% 74–81 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.