But where the fuck is the waitress at with my drinks! "Stand Up" - Ludacris
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Adjusted Efficiency (classic) — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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34–12 on winners spread MAE 10.8 46 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Cincinnati @ Kansas State -8.3 139.2 23% 67–70 ✗
SE Louisiana @ McNeese +10.9 128.1 84% 51–79 ✓
New Hampshire @ Iowa +32.2 151.5 100% 70–112 ✓
Presbyterian @ South Carolina +15.4 142.5 92% 59–69 ✓
Alabama State @ Missouri +23.0 163.3 98% 65–82 ✓
Houston @ Oklahoma State -17.2 139.6 6% 60–47 ✓
Oakland @ Arkansas +19.6 137.5 96% 62–92 ✓
TCU @ Arizona +16.4 138.5 93% 81–90 ✓
Bryant @ Grand Canyon +7.1 160.9 74% 66–112 ✓
New Orleans @ Vanderbilt +30.3 163.9 100% 56–100 ✓
Iowa State @ Colorado -7.7 150.6 24% 79–69 ✓
Bethune-Cookman @ Mississippi State +26.0 144.3 99% 73–87 ✓
Southern @ Nebraska +19.0 139.0 96% 43–77 ✓
Loyola Marymount @ Washington State +13.9 144.9 90% 59–73 ✓
Portland @ Oregon State +27.0 144.0 99% 79–89 ✓
Gonzaga @ Pepperdine -20.4 156.9 3% 89–82 ✓
Nicholls @ Seattle U +11.6 147.3 85% 71–69 ✗
UC Irvine @ California Baptist -5.0 145.0 33% 71–63 ✓
Santa Clara @ San Francisco +6.2 144.0 71% 94–97 ✓
Pacific @ San Diego +2.1 137.3 58% 65–75 ✓
NC State @ Virginia +2.6 117.6 59% 67–70 ✓
West Virginia @ Kansas +7.8 140.4 76% 62–61 ✗
Brown @ Kentucky +21.7 159.4 98% 54–88 ✓
Utah @ Baylor +10.6 162.7 83% 56–81 ✓
UCF @ Texas Tech +17.1 153.8 94% 87–83 ✗
Tulane @ Charlotte +2.4 147.0 59% 83–68 ✗
Wake Forest @ Syracuse +3.6 142.4 63% 81–71 ✗
VCU @ St. Bonaventure +3.9 124.9 64% 75–77 ✓
Massachusetts @ Saint Joseph's +14.9 151.4 91% 72–81 ✓
Saint Louis @ Fordham +4.2 156.7 65% 88–63 ✗
Rhode Island @ Duquesne -5.0 144.2 32% 55–67 ✗
La Salle @ Dayton +15.9 148.5 93% 70–84 ✓
Davidson @ George Mason +7.3 140.8 75% 57–69 ✓
Seton Hall @ Xavier +14.4 129.0 90% 72–94 ✓
Notre Dame @ Georgia Tech +0.0 145.5 50% 75–86 ✓
Norfolk State @ Tennessee +25.1 135.8 99% 52–67 ✓
East Carolina @ South Florida +2.6 145.8 59% 69–75 ✓
Arizona State @ BYU +7.7 150.2 76% 56–76 ✓
UAB @ North Texas +12.3 144.4 87% 75–78 ✓
Stephen F. Austin @ Abilene Christian +1.8 123.8 56% 62–57 ✗
George Washington @ Richmond -4.0 145.7 36% 61–66 ✗
UNLV @ Air Force -4.1 130.3 35% 77–58 ✓
St. John's @ Creighton -2.0 155.0 43% 56–57 ✗
Virginia Tech @ Duke +28.0 127.8 99% 65–88 ✓
Colorado State @ San José State +0.9 146.6 53% 72–50 ✗
Marquette @ Providence -5.1 138.8 32% 78–50 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.