Betting Lines
| Spread | SEA -10.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Under |
| Money | SEA -700 NICH +450 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SEA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NICH +2 | 140 | Lost |
| Massey | SEA -11.4 (-13.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.2 (-7.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 78% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 91% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SEA -9.8 (-11.8) | 148.6 (-8.6) | 80% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SEA -11.1 (-13.1) | 148.2 (-8.2) | 84% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SEA -9.8 (-11.8) | 146.8 (-6.8) | 82% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | SEA -10.6 (-12.6) | 147.2 (-7.2) | 80% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SEA | NICH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-18 | 20-13 |
| Conference | 8-8 | 13-7 |
| Home | 9-5 | 11-4 |
| Away | 4-11 | 8-8 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.8 | 72.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.6 | 71.7 |
| Massey | 1.5 (#133) | -5.6 (#266) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.04 (#174) | -0.53 (#218) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.16 (#156) | -1.30 (#259) |
| RPI | 0.522 (#133) | 0.490 (#186) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SEA | NICH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.0% | 38.0% |
| 3PT% | 34.4% | 30.6% |
| REB / G | 33.7 | 38.3 |
| OREB / G | 10.7 | 12.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.89 | 1.03 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.9% | 44.1% |
| TOV% | 18.2% | 15.0% |
| ORB% | 30.3% | 29.9% |
| FT Rate | 34.6% | 16.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 57.5% | 49.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.9% | 14.9% |
| DRB% | 76.9% | 69.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.3% | 29.9% |
Game Analysis
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