← All models
Adjusted Efficiency (classic) — Schedule
Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.
8–1 on winners
spread MAE 14.6
9 games
| Matchup | Spread | Total | Home win | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mississippi Valley State
@
LSU
|
+42.0 | 138.0 | 100% | 45–110 | ✓ |
Western Kentucky
@
Michigan
|
+18.2 | 154.5 | 95% | 64–112 | ✓ |
Campbell
@
North Carolina
|
+28.5 | 155.7 | 100% | 81–97 | ✓ |
Utah Tech
@
Florida International
|
+7.0 | 140.6 | 74% | 66–80 | ✓ |
Akron
@
Princeton
|
+6.0 | 159.5 | 71% | 75–76 | ✓ |
Western Michigan
@
Michigan State
|
+24.8 | 145.1 | 99% | 62–80 | ✓ |
Siena
@
Cornell
|
+12.1 | 147.8 | 86% | 83–77 | ✗ |
Columbia
@
Rutgers
|
+7.9 | 163.1 | 76% | 64–91 | ✓ |
Monmouth
@
Auburn
|
+39.0 | 156.6 | 100% | 58–87 | ✓ |
Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.