Betting Lines
| Spread | LSU -40.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LSU +65 | 155 | Won |
| Massey | LSU -40.5 (+24.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 137.7 (+17.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LSU -41.9 (+23.1) | 139.5 (+15.5) | 91% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LSU -26.2 (+38.8) | 143.5 (+11.5) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LSU -25.0 (+40.0) | 139.8 (+15.2) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LSU -37.7 (+27.3) | 139.2 (+15.8) | 91% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 7, 2023 | LSU 106 – 60 MVSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LSU | MVSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-18 | 3-28 |
| Conference | 3-15 | 1-17 |
| Home | 11-7 | 2-9 |
| Away | 2-8 | 1-19 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L6 | L9 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.8 | 52.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.6 | 82.3 |
| Massey | 9.5 (#56) | -26.8 (#364) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.35 (#40) | -2.64 (#340) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.11 (#45) | -3.93 (#349) |
| RPI | 0.559 (#82) | 0.455 (#261) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LSU | MVSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.6% | 34.7% |
| 3PT% | 32.0% | 24.4% |
| REB / G | 41.8 | 24.7 |
| OREB / G | 12.8 | 7.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.03 | 0.39 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.2% | 37.9% |
| TOV% | 18.9% | 25.8% |
| ORB% | 36.7% | 21.0% |
| FT Rate | 26.6% | 17.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 43.0% | 61.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.9% | 14.1% |
| DRB% | 66.9% | 58.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.2% | 32.3% |
Game Analysis
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