See my tailor, he's called Simon, I know it's going to fit. "Sex & Drugs & Rock & Roll" - Ian Dury
Jersey Mike’s Arena · December 30, 2024
Betting Lines
Spread RUTG -11.5 Home covered
O/U 155.5 Under
Money RUTG -900 / COLU +550
Model Predictions
Spread Total RUTG win
Actual RUTG +27 155 Won
Massey RUTG -7.9 (+19.1)
Massey Totals 162.3 (-7.3)
Bradley-Terry 52%
Weighted B-T 71%
Baseline Plus ML RUTG -6.5 (+20.5) 153.0 (+2.0) 70%
Efficiency Plus ML RUTG -7.7 (+19.3) 152.4 (+2.6) 76%
Baseline Tuned ML RUTG -6.0 (+21.0) 154.3 (+0.7) 67%
Baseline ML RUTG -5.6 (+21.4) 153.8 (+1.2) 72%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Nov 8, 2022 RUTG 7535 COLU

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings RUTG COLU
Overall 15-17 12-15
Conference 8-12 1-13
Home 11-5 9-6
Away 3-8 3-9
Neutral 1-4 0-0
Last 5 2-3 4-1
Streak L1 L7
Avg Pts For 77.0 77.1
Avg Pts Against 77.6 80.6
Massey 5.7 (#94) 2.1 (#127)
Bradley-Terry 0.92 (#96) 1.60 (#69)
W. Bradley-Terry 1.49 (#88) 1.46 (#89)
RPI 0.553 (#87) 0.527 (#120)
Shooting & Four Factors RUTG COLU
FG% 46.2% 50.4%
3PT% 33.8% 38.5%
REB / G 36.3 35.4
OREB / G 10.5 9.7
AST / TO 1.19 1.53
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 51.8% 58.3%
TOV% 15.7% 17.6%
ORB% 29.9% 31.7%
FT Rate 29.4% 25.7%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 50.7% 50.6%
Opp TOV% 17.4% 17.8%
DRB% 68.4% 71.6%
Opp FT Rate 18.8% 16.6%

Game Analysis

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