Betting Lines
| Spread | MSU -27.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 147.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MSU +18 | 142 | Won |
| Massey | MSU -25.1 (-7.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.0 (-3.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MSU -22.2 (-4.2) | 147.3 (-5.3) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MSU -22.7 (-4.7) | 147.0 (-5.0) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MSU -24.7 (-6.7) | 146.5 (-4.5) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MSU -24.3 (-6.3) | 145.9 (-3.9) | 91% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 12, 2021 | MSU 90 – 46 WMU |
| Dec 6, 2020 | MSU 79 – 61 WMU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MSU | WMU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 30-7 | 12-20 |
| Conference | 17-3 | 9-9 |
| Home | 15-1 | 6-9 |
| Away | 8-2 | 6-10 |
| Neutral | 7-4 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.7 | 71.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.1 | 77.0 |
| Massey | 15.6 (#25) | -5.3 (#261) |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.07 (#16) | -2.14 (#331) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.90 (#22) | -2.58 (#323) |
| RPI | 0.643 (#17) | 0.402 (#333) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MSU | WMU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.4% | 42.2% |
| 3PT% | 28.7% | 27.9% |
| REB / G | 42.4 | 38.7 |
| OREB / G | 12.8 | 13.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.53 | 1.12 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.3% | 46.1% |
| TOV% | 16.8% | 14.5% |
| ORB% | 37.6% | 35.4% |
| FT Rate | 31.4% | 20.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.1% | 54.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.4% | 13.2% |
| DRB% | 76.8% | 76.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.4% | 21.7% |
Game Analysis
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