Betting Lines
| Spread | MSU -23.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 142.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MSU +18 | 140 | Won |
| Massey | MSU -10.1 (+7.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.2 (-1.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MSU -9.0 (+9.0) | 141.1 (-1.1) | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MSU -11.2 (+6.8) | 140.6 (-0.6) | 76% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 30, 2024 | MSU 80 – 62 WMU |
| Nov 12, 2021 | MSU 90 – 46 WMU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MSU | WMU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-13 | 5-16 |
| Conference | 9-11 | 4-12 |
| Home | 12-3 | 2-9 |
| Away | 3-8 | 3-7 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 4-0 | 0-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.4 | 63.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.1 | 73.5 |
| Massey | 3.4 (#89) | 1.4 (#115) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.43 (#16) | -0.59 (#187) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.40 (#20) | -0.75 (#179) |
| RPI | 0.703 (#22) | — |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MSU | WMU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.8% | 46.0% |
| 3PT% | 34.1% | 50.0% |
| REB / G | 42.8 | 34.0 |
| OREB / G | 11.0 | 2.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.26 | 1.00 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.8% | 55.0% |
| TOV% | 20.4% | 19.8% |
| ORB% | 30.8% | 7.4% |
| FT Rate | 23.8% | 14.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 41.7% | 44.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.4% | 8.9% |
| DRB% | 75.1% | 82.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.5% | 26.3% |
Game Analysis
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