Betting Lines
| Spread | MICH -21.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 159.5 Over |
| Money | MICH -10000 WKU +2500 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MICH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MICH +48 | 176 | Won |
| Massey | MICH -16.9 (+31.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 154.6 (+21.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 92% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MICH -15.8 (+32.2) | 158.0 (+18.0) | 87% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MICH -13.1 (+34.9) | 156.4 (+19.6) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MICH -15.7 (+32.3) | 153.8 (+22.2) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MICH -16.0 (+32.0) | 154.0 (+22.0) | 87% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MICH | WKU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 27-10 | 17-15 |
| Conference | 14-6 | 8-10 |
| Home | 13-3 | 13-5 |
| Away | 7-3 | 4-9 |
| Neutral | 7-4 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 78.0 | 73.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.5 | 74.8 |
| Massey | 16.2 (#22) | 3.6 (#107) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.31 (#42) | 0.69 (#112) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.59 (#30) | 1.00 (#107) |
| RPI | 0.634 (#20) | 0.519 (#136) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MICH | WKU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 51.1% | 43.8% |
| 3PT% | 34.7% | 34.9% |
| REB / G | 38.7 | 40.2 |
| OREB / G | 11.7 | 8.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.14 | 0.94 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 58.4% | 50.4% |
| TOV% | 21.2% | 16.5% |
| ORB% | 37.5% | 23.2% |
| FT Rate | 22.4% | 27.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 44.5% | 43.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.6% | 17.7% |
| DRB% | 69.1% | 73.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.2% | 30.1% |
Game Analysis
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