Betting Lines
| Spread | PRIN -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 154.5 Under |
| Money | PRIN -250 AKR +210 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | PRIN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | PRIN +1 | 151 | Won |
| Massey | PRIN -6.4 (-5.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 159.6 (-8.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 87% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 88% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | PRIN -6.2 (-5.2) | 156.0 (-5.0) | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | PRIN -6.5 (-5.5) | 153.0 (-2.0) | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | PRIN -6.7 (-5.7) | 153.6 (-2.6) | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | PRIN -6.9 (-5.9) | 153.9 (-2.9) | 76% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 8, 2025 | AKR 104 – 69 PRIN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | PRIN | AKR |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-11 | 28-7 |
| Conference | 8-6 | 17-1 |
| Home | 9-4 | 16-0 |
| Away | 7-4 | 8-4 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 4-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.1 | 83.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.4 | 76.4 |
| Massey | 1.4 (#138) | -0.7 (#168) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.87 (#98) | -0.20 (#189) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.76 (#120) | -0.33 (#192) |
| RPI | 0.541 (#101) | 0.485 (#192) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | PRIN | AKR |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.5% | 41.4% |
| 3PT% | 37.7% | 35.4% |
| REB / G | 32.8 | 39.0 |
| OREB / G | 8.9 | 14.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.46 | 1.26 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.2% | 49.7% |
| TOV% | 15.5% | 18.2% |
| ORB% | 26.0% | 34.0% |
| FT Rate | 20.9% | 19.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.9% | 52.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.2% | 20.6% |
| DRB% | 72.3% | 66.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.9% | 22.8% |
Game Analysis
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