Betting Lines
| Spread | CLT -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Over |
| Money | CLT -140 TULN +120 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CLT win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TULN +15 | 151 | Lost |
| Massey | CLT -2.4 (-17.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.4 (+3.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 88% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 89% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CLT -1.6 (-16.6) | 145.7 (+5.3) | 60% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CLT -2.6 (-17.6) | 145.4 (+5.6) | 62% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | CLT -2.0 (-17.0) | 147.0 (+4.0) | 58% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CLT -2.2 (-17.2) | 147.5 (+3.5) | 53% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 12, 2026 | CLT 74 – 60 TULN |
| Jan 24, 2026 | CLT 73 – 70 TULN |
| Feb 27, 2025 | TULN 78 – 64 CLT |
| Jan 27, 2024 | CLT 75 – 71 TULN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CLT | TULN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-22 | 19-15 |
| Conference | 3-15 | 12-6 |
| Home | 8-8 | 14-3 |
| Away | 1-12 | 4-7 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 1-5 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.2 | 73.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.0 | 71.7 |
| Massey | -3.7 (#231) | -1.8 (#198) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.58 (#225) | -1.79 (#314) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.73 (#222) | -1.99 (#295) |
| RPI | 0.467 (#237) | 0.399 (#336) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CLT | TULN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.6% | 41.4% |
| 3PT% | 29.0% | 32.7% |
| REB / G | 31.9 | 36.5 |
| OREB / G | 9.4 | 10.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.36 | 1.29 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.9% | 48.4% |
| TOV% | 13.3% | 16.3% |
| ORB% | 27.8% | 29.6% |
| FT Rate | 38.7% | 25.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.1% | 47.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.3% | 18.4% |
| DRB% | 67.0% | 70.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.8% | 27.1% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.