Betting Lines
| Spread | TENN -29.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TENN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TENN +15 | 119 | Won |
| Massey | TENN -26.5 (-11.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 136.3 (-17.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TENN -26.3 (-11.3) | 139.1 (-20.1) | 91% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TENN -25.3 (-10.3) | 138.3 (-19.3) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TENN -21.6 (-6.6) | 136.9 (-17.9) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TENN -25.4 (-10.4) | 139.3 (-20.3) | 91% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 3, 2024 | TENN 87 – 50 NORF |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TENN | NORF |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 30-8 | 24-11 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 11-3 |
| Home | 16-1 | 11-1 |
| Away | 6-5 | 8-9 |
| Neutral | 8-2 | 5-1 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.0 | 74.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 63.1 | 71.8 |
| Massey | 23.4 (#3) | 1.2 (#139) |
| Bradley-Terry | 4.77 (#1) | 0.59 (#122) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 6.61 (#1) | 0.46 (#139) |
| RPI | 0.645 (#12) | 0.533 (#111) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TENN | NORF |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 49.4% | 47.0% |
| 3PT% | 36.5% | 33.8% |
| REB / G | 39.6 | 30.9 |
| OREB / G | 12.0 | 8.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.52 | 0.97 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 57.1% | 52.0% |
| TOV% | 16.8% | 17.8% |
| ORB% | 38.8% | 27.7% |
| FT Rate | 25.7% | 31.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 40.7% | 50.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.2% | 18.6% |
| DRB% | 73.1% | 64.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.7% | 27.0% |
Game Analysis
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