Betting Lines
| Spread | TENN -24.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Under |
| Money | TENN -7000 NORF +1800 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TENN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TENN +37 | 137 | Won |
| Massey | TENN -20.7 (+16.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 137.2 (-0.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TENN -16.5 (+20.5) | 141.1 (-4.1) | 88% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TENN -18.1 (+18.9) | 140.7 (-3.7) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TENN -18.6 (+18.4) | 140.0 (-3.0) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TENN -16.8 (+20.2) | 140.3 (-3.3) | 88% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 31, 2024 | TENN 67 – 52 NORF |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TENN | NORF |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 27-9 | 24-11 |
| Conference | 14-4 | 11-3 |
| Home | 14-2 | 15-0 |
| Away | 8-3 | 6-8 |
| Neutral | 5-4 | 3-3 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | W2 |
| Avg Pts For | 78.8 | 70.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.4 | 68.6 |
| Massey | 15.3 (#15) | -0.8 (#181) |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.12 (#14) | -0.08 (#185) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 4.25 (#11) | -0.24 (#195) |
| RPI | 0.659 (#8) | 0.481 (#206) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TENN | NORF |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.3% | 42.3% |
| 3PT% | 33.6% | 33.5% |
| REB / G | 39.4 | 31.7 |
| OREB / G | 11.4 | 10.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.53 | 0.89 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.1% | 48.1% |
| TOV% | 15.2% | 17.6% |
| ORB% | 32.1% | 31.2% |
| FT Rate | 26.6% | 33.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 43.3% | 51.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.1% | 22.3% |
| DRB% | 72.3% | 66.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.4% | 35.3% |
Game Analysis
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