The black queen chants the funeral march, the cracked brass bells will ring / To summon back the fire witch to the court of the crimson king "The Court of the Crimson King" - King Crimson
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Adjusted Efficiency (classic) — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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36–13 on winners spread MAE 9.5 49 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Marquette @ Dayton -2.2 153.6 42% 63–71 ✗
Green Bay @ UC Santa Barbara +17.6 155.2 95% 66–83 ✓
San Diego @ Fresno State +10.1 145.7 82% 65–73 ✓
Drexel @ UAlbany +2.1 143.1 58% 77–70 ✗
Loyola Maryland @ Mount St. Mary's +6.0 142.8 71% 77–69 ✗
Detroit Mercy @ Davidson +12.4 152.9 87% 51–86 ✓
Radford @ Utah +15.7 150.6 92% 63–81 ✓
North Carolina A&T @ Liberty +25.4 147.7 99% 74–83 ✓
VCU @ Colorado State -9.2 137.1 20% 76–68 ✓
Gonzaga @ UConn -8.0 155.2 23% 71–77 ✗
Oklahoma State @ Oklahoma +5.0 158.2 68% 65–80 ✓
Eastern Illinois @ Eastern Kentucky +10.8 144.8 84% 66–81 ✓
Bowling Green @ Kansas City +0.8 139.0 53% 77–85 ✓
Creighton @ Alabama +15.7 164.6 92% 75–83 ✓
Saint Mary's @ Boise State -1.2 145.8 46% 65–67 ✗
Prairie View A&M @ Loyola Marymount +12.4 158.9 87% 75–76 ✓
Wyoming @ BYU +13.2 148.4 89% 49–68 ✓
Cal Poly @ San José State -0.7 160.7 48% 100–107 ✗
Texas Southern @ Nevada +21.5 141.3 97% 73–105 ✓
UC Davis @ Sacramento State -4.1 131.2 36% 69–62 ✓
Pacific @ UNLV +10.3 136.8 82% 65–72 ✓
Texas A&M-Corpus Christi @ Hawai'i -0.3 153.3 49% 62–71 ✗
South Alabama @ East Texas A&M -4.5 132.5 34% 81–72 ✓
Temple @ Hofstra +4.2 146.4 65% 60–42 ✗
Navy @ Virginia Tech +13.5 141.6 89% 72–80 ✓
Omaha @ Iowa State +29.5 150.6 100% 51–83 ✓
Northeastern @ Old Dominion -13.3 144.3 11% 75–71 ✓
Norfolk State @ Northern Kentucky -2.3 134.8 42% 62–71 ✗
Central Connecticut @ Rhode Island +12.5 137.8 87% 69–77 ✓
Akron @ Milwaukee -2.3 165.9 42% 81–100 ✗
UIC @ Little Rock +5.9 144.2 71% 77–69 ✗
Campbell @ Morgan State -9.8 149.8 19% 76–86 ✗
Vermont @ Colgate +3.6 121.7 63% 60–65 ✓
Alabama A&M @ Chattanooga +17.4 152.4 94% 63–85 ✓
Chicago State @ Mercer +19.3 157.3 96% 63–75 ✓
Western Michigan @ North Dakota State +9.5 145.8 80% 62–98 ✓
Purdue Fort Wayne @ Eastern Michigan -4.6 155.0 34% 99–76 ✓
Presbyterian @ Miami +9.3 151.7 80% 75–94 ✓
New Orleans @ Iowa +25.3 161.2 99% 57–104 ✓
UTSA @ North Dakota +0.6 156.7 52% 95–85 ✗
Arkansas-Pine Bluff @ Texas +35.8 163.7 100% 57–121 ✓
Georgia Tech @ Northwestern +7.1 137.9 74% 60–71 ✓
Stonehill @ Boston College +8.0 136.3 77% 69–73 ✓
Denver @ Cal State Fullerton +2.7 138.5 60% 59–74 ✓
Mercyhurst @ Kent State +17.1 121.6 94% 57–82 ✓
Saint Louis @ Illinois State +7.3 154.6 75% 77–81 ✓
Stephen F. Austin @ Oregon +21.7 128.9 98% 61–79 ✓
Arkansas State @ UAB -1.5 154.5 45% 98–89 ✓
San Francisco @ Loyola Chicago -6.3 138.0 28% 76–66 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.