Betting Lines
| Spread | UCD -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 137.5 Under |
| Money | SAC +215 UCD -265 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SAC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UCD +7 | 131 | Lost |
| Massey | UCD -3.6 (-3.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 130.5 (+0.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 6% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 1% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UCD -1.6 (-5.4) | 132.8 (-1.8) | 33% ✓ |
| Model 4 ML ★ | UCD -3.5 (-3.5) | 132.3 (-1.3) | 29% ✓ |
| Model 3 ML | UCD -2.0 (-5.0) | 132.5 (-1.5) | 34% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UCD -2.7 (-4.3) | 133.0 (-2.0) | 37% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 15, 2025 | UCD 77 – 73 SAC |
| Nov 27, 2023 | SAC 69 – 63 UCD |
| Nov 23, 2022 | UCD 82 – 71 SAC |
| Nov 24, 2021 | SAC 75 – 63 UCD |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SAC | UCD |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 7-25 | 15-17 |
| Conference | 3-15 | 9-11 |
| Home | 5-11 | 8-6 |
| Away | 2-13 | 7-10 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L5 | L7 |
| Avg Pts For | 63.3 | 66.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.4 | 71.1 |
| Massey | -8.8 (#315) | -0.9 (#175) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.68 (#347) | 0.87 (#104) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -4.38 (#356) | 0.80 (#124) |
| RPI | 0.355 (#355) | 0.557 (#88) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SAC | UCD |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.0% | 40.9% |
| 3PT% | 31.9% | 34.1% |
| REB / G | 34.6 | 32.1 |
| OREB / G | 9.5 | 8.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.82 | 0.64 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.7% | 47.5% |
| TOV% | 21.7% | 21.6% |
| ORB% | 27.5% | 24.2% |
| FT Rate | 23.3% | 29.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.8% | 49.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.0% | 22.9% |
| DRB% | 72.0% | 66.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 29.6% | 29.7% |
Game Analysis
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