Betting Lines
| Spread | UCD -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 151.5 Under |
| Money | UCD -215 SAC +180 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UCD win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UCD +4 | 150 | Won |
| Massey | UCD -18.1 (-14.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 156.4 (-6.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Model 3 ML | UCD -12.4 (-8.4) | 148.0 (+2.0) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UCD -14.7 (-10.7) | 144.6 (+5.4) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UCD -14.2 (-10.2) | 148.1 (+1.9) | 79% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 15, 2024 | UCD 69 – 62 SAC |
| Nov 27, 2023 | SAC 69 – 63 UCD |
| Nov 23, 2022 | UCD 82 – 71 SAC |
| Nov 24, 2021 | SAC 75 – 63 UCD |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UCD | SAC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-14 | 10-21 |
| Conference | 11-9 | 6-12 |
| Home | 12-4 | 10-4 |
| Away | 6-9 | 0-16 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-1 | 0-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.1 | 75.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.0 | 83.6 |
| Massey | 2.0 (#148) | -6.1 (#280) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.28 (#154) | -1.69 (#318) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.70 (#141) | -2.34 (#316) |
| RPI | 0.625 (#73) | 0.500 (#172) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UCD | SAC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.6% | 52.5% |
| 3PT% | 30.6% | 47.6% |
| REB / G | 37.0 | 33.0 |
| OREB / G | 13.0 | 8.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.88 | 1.50 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.2% | 61.0% |
| TOV% | 24.7% | 16.2% |
| ORB% | 40.0% | 23.5% |
| FT Rate | 21.1% | 25.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 42.4% | 57.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.8% | 11.0% |
| DRB% | 60.0% | 71.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.2% | 30.2% |
Game Analysis
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