Betting Lines
| Spread | URI -9.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Over |
| Money | URI -550 CCSU +380 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | URI win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | URI +8 | 146 | Won |
| Massey | URI -13.2 (-5.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 138.3 (+7.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 85% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 92% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | URI -12.8 (-4.8) | 138.4 (+7.6) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | URI -11.3 (-3.3) | 137.0 (+9.0) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | URI -11.3 (-3.3) | 138.0 (+8.0) | 85% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | URI -11.5 (-3.5) | 139.5 (+6.5) | 86% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 7, 2023 | URI 81 – 70 CCSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | URI | CCSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-13 | 25-7 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 14-2 |
| Home | 14-3 | 13-3 |
| Away | 1-9 | 12-3 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.1 | 69.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.2 | 63.1 |
| Massey | 8.3 (#70) | -0.5 (#170) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.76 (#56) | 0.87 (#107) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.13 (#68) | 0.64 (#138) |
| RPI | 0.633 (#23) | 0.558 (#86) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | URI | CCSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.8% | 43.9% |
| 3PT% | 36.5% | 28.1% |
| REB / G | 41.3 | 32.5 |
| OREB / G | 10.8 | 8.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.24 | 1.01 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.3% | 48.7% |
| TOV% | 16.7% | 17.5% |
| ORB% | 30.6% | 25.9% |
| FT Rate | 32.9% | 18.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 43.8% | 50.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.0% | 20.4% |
| DRB% | 71.8% | 72.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.9% | 14.8% |
Game Analysis
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