Betting Lines
| Spread | USA -7.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 135.5 Over |
| Money | ETAM +280 USA -360 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ETAM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | USA +9 | 153 | Lost |
| Massey | USA -4.3 (-4.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 132.0 (+21.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 34% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 20% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | USA -4.6 (-4.4) | 134.7 (+18.3) | 33% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | USA -3.4 (-5.6) | 134.9 (+18.1) | 35% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | USA -3.3 (-5.7) | 135.4 (+17.6) | 32% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | USA -5.5 (-3.5) | 136.1 (+16.9) | 27% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 30, 2021 | USA 69 – 66 ETAM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ETAM | USA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 5-26 | 21-11 |
| Conference | 3-17 | 13-5 |
| Home | 4-10 | 13-4 |
| Away | 1-16 | 8-6 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 4-1 |
| Streak | W1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 64.4 | 71.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.9 | 65.5 |
| Massey | -9.7 (#324) | -1.1 (#179) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.02 (#328) | -0.55 (#222) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.87 (#329) | -0.55 (#201) |
| RPI | 0.410 (#312) | 0.470 (#227) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ETAM | USA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.2% | 42.8% |
| 3PT% | 28.6% | 31.1% |
| REB / G | 31.1 | 35.4 |
| OREB / G | 10.2 | 9.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.63 | 1.53 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.1% | 51.0% |
| TOV% | 25.0% | 14.4% |
| ORB% | 28.9% | 26.7% |
| FT Rate | 19.0% | 24.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 55.5% | 50.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.4% | 19.8% |
| DRB% | 65.3% | 71.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.9% | 15.7% |
Game Analysis
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