Betting Lines
| Spread | NDSU -8.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Over |
| Money | NDSU -400 WMU +300 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NDSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NDSU +36 | 160 | Won |
| Massey | NDSU -10.1 (+25.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.6 (+14.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NDSU -10.4 (+25.6) | 144.9 (+15.1) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | NDSU -10.3 (+25.7) | 144.6 (+15.4) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NDSU -10.9 (+25.1) | 144.6 (+15.4) | 83% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NDSU -7.7 (+28.3) | 144.5 (+15.5) | 72% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 7, 2023 | NDSU 80 – 76 WMU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NDSU | WMU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-11 | 12-20 |
| Conference | 10-6 | 9-9 |
| Home | 11-4 | 6-9 |
| Away | 8-6 | 6-10 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 80.7 | 71.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.0 | 77.0 |
| Massey | 3.3 (#110) | -2.4 (#205) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.86 (#108) | -1.61 (#305) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.86 (#120) | -2.12 (#300) |
| RPI | 0.521 (#133) | 0.417 (#307) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NDSU | WMU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.5% | 42.2% |
| 3PT% | 40.3% | 27.7% |
| REB / G | 34.9 | 40.0 |
| OREB / G | 8.3 | 13.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.31 | 1.06 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 56.6% | 46.2% |
| TOV% | 16.7% | 14.9% |
| ORB% | 25.2% | 36.9% |
| FT Rate | 20.8% | 22.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.2% | 51.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 9.1% | 13.1% |
| DRB% | 71.9% | 76.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.0% | 23.6% |
Game Analysis
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