Betting Lines
| Spread | NE -6.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Over |
| Money | ODU +240 NE -290 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ODU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NE +4 | 146 | Lost |
| Massey | NE -13.5 (+9.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.1 (+0.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 11% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 8% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NE -8.8 (+4.8) | 139.7 (+6.3) | 22% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | NE -9.1 (+5.1) | 140.3 (+5.7) | 20% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NE -9.0 (+5.0) | 140.6 (+5.4) | 17% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NE -7.9 (+3.9) | 139.0 (+7.0) | 19% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 2, 2023 | NE 81 – 68 ODU |
| Dec 20, 2020 | ODU 66 – 62 NE |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ODU | NE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-20 | 17-15 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 9-9 |
| Home | 7-9 | 8-5 |
| Away | 5-7 | 7-8 |
| Neutral | 3-4 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.4 | 70.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.8 | 69.7 |
| Massey | -15.3 (#354) | 2.5 (#122) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.45 (#340) | 0.50 (#134) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.83 (#327) | 0.57 (#142) |
| RPI | 0.381 (#339) | 0.500 (#166) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ODU | NE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.1% | 48.8% |
| 3PT% | 28.6% | 34.1% |
| REB / G | 37.1 | 33.8 |
| OREB / G | 14.3 | 8.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.77 | 1.09 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.1% | 54.2% |
| TOV% | 19.6% | 18.7% |
| ORB% | 35.1% | 26.6% |
| FT Rate | 15.8% | 19.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 55.0% | 47.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.6% | 18.2% |
| DRB% | 66.1% | 72.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.1% | 19.8% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.