Betting Lines
| Spread | BC -13.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 135.5 Over |
| Money | BC -1800 STO +900 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BC +4 | 142 | Won |
| Massey | BC -8.1 (-4.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 137.0 (+5.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 76% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 67% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BC -5.8 (-1.8) | 138.8 (+3.2) | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BC -5.8 (-1.8) | 139.6 (+2.4) | 69% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BC -5.0 (-1.0) | 140.4 (+1.6) | 68% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BC -10.7 (-6.7) | 138.6 (+3.4) | 85% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 14, 2022 | BC 63 – 56 STO |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BC | STO |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-19 | 15-17 |
| Conference | 4-16 | 7-9 |
| Home | 9-8 | 11-3 |
| Away | 0-10 | 3-13 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L4 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.4 | 67.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.8 | 70.9 |
| Massey | -2.6 (#209) | -6.3 (#279) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.22 (#191) | -0.55 (#221) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.80 (#222) | -0.57 (#204) |
| RPI | 0.504 (#161) | 0.462 (#242) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BC | STO |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.6% | 41.2% |
| 3PT% | 33.8% | 38.2% |
| REB / G | 38.2 | 31.8 |
| OREB / G | 12.1 | 8.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.98 | 1.16 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.2% | 49.9% |
| TOV% | 17.8% | 19.4% |
| ORB% | 32.6% | 23.5% |
| FT Rate | 24.3% | 20.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.3% | 49.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.7% | 18.3% |
| DRB% | 74.1% | 64.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.0% | 25.8% |
Game Analysis
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