Betting Lines
| Spread | BC -12.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 137.5 Under |
| Money | BC -800 STO +650 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BC +7 | 119 | Won |
| Massey | BC -7.2 (-0.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.3 (-23.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 84% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 93% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BC -6.0 (+1.0) | 139.6 (-20.6) | 71% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BC -5.9 (+1.1) | 138.7 (-19.7) | 70% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BC -5.4 (+1.6) | 138.8 (-19.8) | 69% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BC -6.1 (+0.9) | 136.6 (-17.6) | 74% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 15, 2024 | BC 73 – 69 STO |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BC | STO |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-17 | 14-17 |
| Conference | 9-11 | 10-6 |
| Home | 9-7 | 7-4 |
| Away | 4-7 | 6-12 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.6 | 66.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.2 | 70.4 |
| Massey | -4.1 (#248) | -6.1 (#282) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.51 (#231) | -1.16 (#280) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.45 (#213) | -1.87 (#296) |
| RPI | 0.472 (#225) | 0.493 (#191) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BC | STO |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.4% | 45.1% |
| 3PT% | 27.3% | 37.3% |
| REB / G | 34.7 | 28.3 |
| OREB / G | 10.6 | 5.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.78 | 0.85 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.6% | 52.6% |
| TOV% | 18.4% | 19.4% |
| ORB% | 29.0% | 17.8% |
| FT Rate | 20.3% | 25.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.8% | 54.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.3% | 18.9% |
| DRB% | 72.8% | 64.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.0% | 24.9% |
Game Analysis
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