Betting Lines
| Spread | IOWA -30.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 162.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | IOWA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | IOWA +47 | 161 | Won |
| Massey | IOWA -23.8 (+23.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 160.9 (+0.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | IOWA -22.6 (+24.4) | 157.3 (+3.7) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | IOWA -22.1 (+24.9) | 154.7 (+6.3) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | IOWA -20.1 (+26.9) | 154.9 (+6.1) | 90% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | IOWA -22.2 (+24.8) | 159.7 (+1.3) | 90% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | IOWA | UNO |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-16 | 4-27 |
| Conference | 7-13 | 2-18 |
| Home | 12-6 | 0-11 |
| Away | 2-8 | 3-15 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L13 |
| Avg Pts For | 82.5 | 67.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 79.7 | 82.5 |
| Massey | 10.3 (#52) | -9.2 (#321) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.08 (#44) | -1.21 (#277) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.48 (#32) | -1.73 (#276) |
| RPI | 0.581 (#57) | 0.440 (#277) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | IOWA | UNO |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.6% | 39.5% |
| 3PT% | 37.2% | 32.0% |
| REB / G | 34.2 | 36.0 |
| OREB / G | 9.6 | 11.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.83 | 0.88 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 56.5% | 45.1% |
| TOV% | 14.1% | 19.3% |
| ORB% | 26.0% | 30.1% |
| FT Rate | 18.1% | 24.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.1% | 51.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.6% | 18.6% |
| DRB% | 66.8% | 62.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 15.9% | 22.9% |
Game Analysis
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