Betting Lines
| Spread | SLU -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 148.5 Over |
| Money | ILST +105 SLU -125 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ILST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ILST +4 | 158 | Won |
| Massey | ILST -8.0 (-4.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 154.4 (+3.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 45% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 54% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ILST -5.5 (-1.5) | 151.2 (+6.8) | 73% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ILST -4.5 (-0.5) | 151.5 (+6.5) | 70% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ILST -4.6 (-0.6) | 149.4 (+8.6) | 67% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ILST -4.3 (-0.3) | 149.5 (+8.5) | 71% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 12, 2023 | SLU 80 – 71 ILST |
| Nov 24, 2021 | SLU 82 – 76 ILST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ILST | SLU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-14 | 19-15 |
| Conference | 10-10 | 11-7 |
| Home | 12-4 | 14-3 |
| Away | 5-7 | 4-9 |
| Neutral | 5-3 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | W3 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.9 | 73.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.4 | 72.6 |
| Massey | 0.1 (#162) | -3.5 (#227) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.42 (#209) | 0.60 (#122) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.13 (#176) | 0.63 (#139) |
| RPI | 0.477 (#215) | 0.511 (#153) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ILST | SLU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.3% | 47.3% |
| 3PT% | 38.3% | 34.9% |
| REB / G | 33.4 | 37.4 |
| OREB / G | 6.8 | 9.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.21 | 1.17 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 56.4% | 55.5% |
| TOV% | 16.6% | 18.7% |
| ORB% | 22.0% | 27.4% |
| FT Rate | 26.9% | 20.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.3% | 50.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.3% | 15.3% |
| DRB% | 75.0% | 72.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.9% | 17.9% |
Game Analysis
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