Betting Lines
| Spread | SLU -11.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 143.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SLU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SLU +6 | 158 | Won |
| Massey | SLU -12.7 (-6.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 174.3 (-16.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 88% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SLU -13.5 (-7.5) | 159.3 (-1.3) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SLU -10.1 (-4.1) | 157.4 (+0.6) | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SLU -10.2 (-4.2) | 157.1 (+0.9) | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SLU -11.0 (-5.0) | 161.3 (-3.3) | 81% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 15, 2024 | ILST 81 – 77 SLU |
| Nov 12, 2023 | SLU 80 – 71 ILST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SLU | ILST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-12 | 13-20 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 5-13 |
| Home | 14-5 | 11-6 |
| Away | 5-6 | 1-11 |
| Neutral | 4-1 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-1 | 2-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.7 | 73.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.3 | 75.2 |
| Massey | 9.0 (#49) | -3.8 (#246) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.37 (#145) | -1.57 (#296) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.45 (#152) | -2.47 (#302) |
| RPI | 0.512 (#158) | 0.384 (#303) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SLU | ILST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.9% | 41.0% |
| 3PT% | 31.4% | 31.7% |
| REB / G | 43.0 | 40.5 |
| OREB / G | 16.5 | 12.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.16 | 0.67 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.1% | 47.1% |
| TOV% | 16.5% | 17.6% |
| ORB% | 40.7% | 31.1% |
| FT Rate | 26.8% | 34.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.7% | 47.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 26.3% | 16.5% |
| DRB% | 74.1% | 65.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.2% | 26.8% |
Game Analysis
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