Betting Lines
| Spread | UTAH -19.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Under |
| Money | UTAH -6000 RAD +1800 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UTAH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UTAH +18 | 144 | Won |
| Massey | UTAH -16.8 (+1.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 150.6 (-6.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 35% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 38% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UTAH -14.8 (+3.2) | 143.8 (+0.2) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UTAH -14.1 (+3.9) | 143.6 (+0.4) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UTAH -14.2 (+3.8) | 144.4 (-0.4) | 86% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UTAH -15.0 (+3.0) | 144.0 (-0.0) | 87% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UTAH | RAD |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-17 | 20-13 |
| Conference | 8-12 | 9-7 |
| Home | 15-4 | 10-3 |
| Away | 1-9 | 7-9 |
| Neutral | 0-4 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L4 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.5 | 71.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.6 | 71.0 |
| Massey | 11.7 (#42) | -0.8 (#174) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.55 (#130) | 1.99 (#46) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.94 (#117) | 2.33 (#64) |
| RPI | 0.460 (#247) | 0.556 (#92) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UTAH | RAD |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.1% | 43.2% |
| 3PT% | 38.5% | 33.3% |
| REB / G | 44.0 | 39.3 |
| OREB / G | 13.2 | 13.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.81 | 0.90 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 57.3% | 49.3% |
| TOV% | 15.7% | 18.6% |
| ORB% | 35.9% | 36.9% |
| FT Rate | 23.9% | 33.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 42.6% | 49.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.0% | 17.0% |
| DRB% | 73.9% | 71.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.7% | 27.2% |
Game Analysis
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