Cause now I wanna be your dog. "I Wanna Be Your Dog" - Iggy and the Stooges
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Adjusted Efficiency (classic) — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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28–13 on winners spread MAE 8.5 41 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Tarleton State @ Michigan +16.3 121.3 93% 54–65 ✓
Xavier @ Iowa State -5.7 121.3 30% 70–82 ✗
Nevada @ Washington +0.4 157.1 52% 81–62 ✗
Southern Miss @ UNC Wilmington +15.4 122.8 92% 80–66 ✗
Hampton @ South Florida +9.9 118.0 82% 52–58 ✓
UMass Lowell @ Massachusetts +5.1 149.2 68% 81–92 ✓
Colgate @ Harvard +1.0 151.2 54% 84–89 ✓
Boston University @ Florida State +10.3 129.4 83% 80–81 ✓
Princeton @ Monmouth +7.2 156.8 74% 64–76 ✓
Arizona State @ Baylor +13.4 143.7 89% 63–75 ✓
UL Monroe @ Louisiana Tech +11.9 149.6 86% 74–96 ✓
Delaware @ Oakland +3.3 142.9 62% 73–81 ✓
Coastal Carolina @ Toledo +3.7 142.2 63% 70–79 ✓
East Tennessee State @ Kent State -1.8 141.8 44% 57–51 ✓
Cal State Fullerton @ Northern Arizona +0.5 136.9 52% 73–56 ✗
Houston Christian @ Oklahoma +30.7 136.1 100% 40–57 ✓
Sam Houston @ SMU +11.3 141.1 85% 66–75 ✓
California Baptist @ Texas +23.4 137.9 98% 44–68 ✓
Florida @ Ohio State -5.0 145.9 33% 71–68 ✓
Stephen F. Austin @ Saint Louis +6.2 150.0 71% 68–79 ✓
Texas Southern @ BYU +15.6 129.6 92% 64–81 ✓
Florida A&M @ UTEP +16.0 127.7 93% 53–67 ✓
Vanderbilt @ Pittsburgh -0.4 122.7 48% 68–52 ✓
Jacksonville @ Minnesota +16.1 127.9 93% 44–55 ✓
Memphis @ Virginia Tech +5.3 143.6 69% 69–61 ✗
UC San Diego @ Montana -9.8 137.9 19% 61–71 ✗
George Mason @ South Dakota State +2.9 154.3 60% 76–80 ✓
Arkansas-Pine Bluff @ UC Santa Barbara +23.3 142.2 98% 58–86 ✓
TCU @ Pepperdine -11.2 133.2 15% 73–64 ✓
Texas A&M @ Notre Dame -5.7 125.5 30% 73–67 ✓
Fresno State @ Santa Clara +14.2 152.1 90% 59–52 ✗
UConn @ Michigan State -4.2 148.7 35% 60–64 ✗
Dayton @ Miami +10.2 140.2 82% 76–60 ✗
South Alabama @ San Diego -2.5 127.2 41% 68–67 ✓
Presbyterian @ LSU New Orleans +5.7 132.8 70% 68–66 ✗
North Texas @ Kansas +11.4 135.9 85% 59–71 ✓
Auburn @ Loyola Chicago +5.8 161.9 70% 62–53 ✗
UIC @ Hawai'i -1.0 142.5 46% 80–88 ✗
VMI @ Central Arkansas -16.2 146.2 7% 73–67 ✓
Baylor @ VCU -12.5 116.2 13% 69–61 ✓
Alabama @ Iona -10.0 159.9 18% 68–72 ✗

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.