Hallelujah, here she comes. "Skateaway" - Dire Straits
← All models

Adjusted Efficiency (classic) — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

← Prev day Next day →
22–15 on winners spread MAE 9.8 37 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
UC San Diego @ Southern Miss -17.5 139.9 6% 55–56 ✗
UAB @ New Mexico -12.4 165.8 13% 86–73 ✓
Richmond @ Maryland -8.6 143.1 22% 80–86 ✗
Arizona State @ Syracuse -1.8 149.7 43% 84–92 ✗
Belmont @ Drake +5.5 156.1 69% 74–69 ✗
USC @ Saint Joseph's -19.9 152.2 4% 70–55 ✓
San Francisco @ Towson -0.4 138.8 49% 71–61 ✓
Mississippi State @ Louisville -12.6 134.0 13% 58–72 ✗
Georgetown @ San Diego State +4.6 132.2 66% 56–73 ✓
Baylor @ Michigan State +0.6 136.5 52% 75–58 ✗
Miami @ North Texas +5.2 125.1 68% 69–63 ✗
McNeese @ St. Francis Brooklyn +2.7 141.1 60% 71–59 ✗
Georgia Southern @ Georgia Tech +6.1 136.1 71% 59–61 ✓
Southeast Missouri State @ Incarnate Word +5.8 158.1 70% 79–76 ✗
Dayton @ Kansas +19.6 146.5 96% 74–73 ✗
VCU @ UConn +14.0 126.3 90% 63–70 ✓
Omaha @ Purdue +35.9 143.1 100% 40–97 ✓
Bryant @ Brown +10.4 146.7 83% 65–59 ✗
Charleston Southern @ Clemson +22.4 148.3 98% 59–91 ✓
Columbia @ Boston College +16.3 141.8 93% 60–73 ✓
VMI @ LSU New Orleans +3.7 146.7 63% 71–79 ✓
Samford @ North Carolina A&T -1.1 138.3 46% 77–75 ✓
Tennessee Tech @ Tennessee +18.2 144.1 95% 69–80 ✓
Austin Peay @ Howard +9.9 161.2 81% 69–67 ✗
Portland @ Montana State +1.5 147.3 56% 66–69 ✓
UIC @ San Diego +6.2 141.2 71% 52–64 ✓
Longwood @ Old Dominion -5.6 116.5 31% 61–62 ✗
Mississippi Valley State @ Ole Miss +32.1 149.9 100% 58–73 ✓
Presbyterian @ Central Arkansas -13.0 129.6 12% 75–66 ✓
Oklahoma State @ Oral Roberts -10.1 144.0 18% 78–77 ✓
Alabama @ Drake +2.0 153.6 57% 80–71 ✗
Syracuse @ Auburn +12.0 157.3 86% 68–89 ✓
SE Louisiana @ Purdue Fort Wayne -2.3 125.7 42% 66–74 ✗
Florida A&M @ UC Riverside +20.3 120.4 97% 49–60 ✓
Northern Kentucky @ DePaul +15.5 158.7 92% 68–77 ✓
Hawai'i @ South Alabama +5.3 144.0 68% 69–72 ✓
Iona @ Belmont +2.3 154.4 58% 65–72 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.