Taking a bite on a biscuit, the record jumps on a scratch. "If I Didn't Love You" - Squeeze
← All models

Efficiency Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

← Prev day Next day →
35–11 on winners spread MAE 10.1 46 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Cincinnati @ Kansas State -4.0 137.7 48% 67–70 ✗
SE Louisiana @ McNeese +12.5 130.6 85% 51–79 ✓
New Hampshire @ Iowa +25.1 158.4 90% 70–112 ✓
Presbyterian @ South Carolina +16.6 142.2 89% 59–69 ✓
Alabama State @ Missouri +20.3 158.6 90% 65–82 ✓
Houston @ Oklahoma State -12.9 134.2 13% 60–47 ✓
Oakland @ Arkansas +14.7 144.8 89% 62–92 ✓
TCU @ Arizona +12.6 143.9 86% 81–90 ✓
Bryant @ Grand Canyon +7.9 155.3 84% 66–112 ✓
New Orleans @ Vanderbilt +23.8 156.8 91% 56–100 ✓
Iowa State @ Colorado -5.2 143.9 27% 79–69 ✓
Bethune-Cookman @ Mississippi State +23.5 146.7 91% 73–87 ✓
Southern @ Nebraska +19.1 139.9 89% 43–77 ✓
Loyola Marymount @ Washington State +13.5 147.9 88% 59–73 ✓
Portland @ Oregon State +18.0 143.9 90% 79–89 ✓
Gonzaga @ Pepperdine -12.8 154.2 15% 89–82 ✓
Nicholls @ Seattle U +11.1 148.2 84% 71–69 ✗
UC Irvine @ California Baptist -4.3 141.4 33% 71–63 ✓
Santa Clara @ San Francisco +5.3 142.1 71% 94–97 ✓
Pacific @ San Diego +1.7 137.7 63% 65–75 ✓
NC State @ Virginia +3.2 127.6 59% 67–70 ✓
West Virginia @ Kansas +8.3 142.3 70% 62–61 ✗
Brown @ Kentucky +20.4 157.9 90% 54–88 ✓
Utah @ Baylor +10.8 153.1 84% 56–81 ✓
UCF @ Texas Tech +11.8 154.6 82% 87–83 ✗
Tulane @ Charlotte +1.6 145.7 60% 83–68 ✗
Wake Forest @ Syracuse +1.7 141.3 55% 81–71 ✗
VCU @ St. Bonaventure +3.8 133.3 65% 75–77 ✓
Massachusetts @ Saint Joseph's +11.4 151.4 86% 72–81 ✓
Saint Louis @ Fordham +2.9 151.3 67% 88–63 ✗
Rhode Island @ Duquesne -1.8 140.3 53% 55–67 ✗
La Salle @ Dayton +14.7 143.4 87% 70–84 ✓
Davidson @ George Mason +6.4 138.1 73% 57–69 ✓
Seton Hall @ Xavier +11.4 133.5 82% 72–94 ✓
Notre Dame @ Georgia Tech +1.0 143.3 58% 75–86 ✓
Norfolk State @ Tennessee +25.3 138.3 91% 52–67 ✓
East Carolina @ South Florida +3.0 144.7 63% 69–75 ✓
Arizona State @ BYU +7.6 147.2 77% 56–76 ✓
UAB @ North Texas +9.3 138.2 80% 75–78 ✓
Stephen F. Austin @ Abilene Christian +1.6 127.9 47% 62–57 ✗
George Washington @ Richmond -3.6 147.0 49% 61–66 ✗
UNLV @ Air Force -5.7 133.1 25% 77–58 ✓
St. John's @ Creighton -0.8 152.9 53% 56–57 ✗
Virginia Tech @ Duke +19.8 134.9 90% 65–88 ✓
Colorado State @ San José State -0.7 141.5 40% 72–50 ✓
Marquette @ Providence -3.3 138.4 27% 78–50 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.