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Efficiency Plus — Schedule
Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.
8–1 on winners
spread MAE 15.9
9 games
| Matchup | Spread | Total | Home win | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
+26.2 | 143.5 | 91% | 45–110 | ✓ |
|
|
+13.1 | 156.4 | 87% | 64–112 | ✓ |
|
|
+23.4 | 154.9 | 90% | 81–97 | ✓ |
|
|
+3.8 | 143.5 | 65% | 66–80 | ✓ |
|
|
+6.2 | 156.0 | 78% | 75–76 | ✓ |
|
|
+22.2 | 147.3 | 91% | 62–80 | ✓ |
|
|
+13.8 | 145.4 | 84% | 83–77 | ✗ |
|
|
+7.7 | 152.4 | 76% | 64–91 | ✓ |
|
|
+25.2 | 152.4 | 91% | 58–87 | ✓ |
Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.