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Efficiency Plus — Schedule
Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.
29–12 on winners
spread MAE 7.6
41 games
| Matchup | Spread | Total | Home win | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
+17.4 | 128.3 | 89% | 54–65 | ✓ |
|
|
-6.3 | 135.0 | 30% | 70–82 | ✗ |
|
|
+0.5 | 153.9 | 58% | 81–62 | ✗ |
|
|
+10.3 | 134.7 | 77% | 80–66 | ✗ |
|
|
+9.0 | 128.3 | 82% | 52–58 | ✓ |
|
|
+3.4 | 147.6 | 64% | 81–92 | ✓ |
|
|
-1.7 | 147.5 | 40% | 84–89 | ✗ |
|
|
+12.4 | 131.7 | 87% | 80–81 | ✓ |
|
|
+3.6 | 144.5 | 66% | 64–76 | ✓ |
|
|
+10.7 | 140.8 | 84% | 63–75 | ✓ |
|
|
+12.5 | 149.8 | 86% | 74–96 | ✓ |
|
|
+1.4 | 139.0 | 56% | 73–81 | ✓ |
|
|
+3.9 | 141.7 | 77% | 70–79 | ✓ |
|
|
-1.4 | 133.1 | 41% | 57–51 | ✓ |
|
|
-1.7 | 138.2 | 47% | 73–56 | ✓ |
|
|
+26.4 | 132.5 | 91% | 40–57 | ✓ |
|
|
+8.6 | 142.7 | 79% | 66–75 | ✓ |
|
|
+24.3 | 135.1 | 90% | 44–68 | ✓ |
|
|
-2.4 | 140.3 | 44% | 71–68 | ✓ |
|
|
+6.2 | 145.8 | 74% | 68–79 | ✓ |
|
|
+13.2 | 132.5 | 87% | 64–81 | ✓ |
|
|
+12.2 | 127.4 | 87% | 53–67 | ✓ |
|
|
-1.3 | 130.4 | 32% | 68–52 | ✓ |
|
|
+14.1 | 131.3 | 89% | 44–55 | ✓ |
|
|
+1.1 | 140.6 | 48% | 69–61 | ✗ |
|
|
-3.4 | 134.2 | 50% | 61–71 | ✗ |
|
|
+1.9 | 149.4 | 59% | 76–80 | ✓ |
|
|
+21.0 | 144.3 | 90% | 58–86 | ✓ |
|
|
-8.1 | 134.7 | 19% | 73–64 | ✓ |
|
|
-3.8 | 127.7 | 32% | 73–67 | ✓ |
|
|
+6.9 | 144.5 | 70% | 59–52 | ✗ |
|
|
-3.3 | 147.0 | 42% | 60–64 | ✗ |
|
|
+5.1 | 140.4 | 68% | 76–60 | ✗ |
|
|
-0.9 | 130.3 | 43% | 68–67 | ✓ |
|
|
+1.6 | 137.6 | 45% | 68–66 | ✗ |
|
|
+6.2 | 132.8 | 69% | 59–71 | ✓ |
|
|
+2.6 | 151.6 | 56% | 62–53 | ✗ |
|
|
+0.4 | 140.6 | 54% | 80–88 | ✓ |
|
|
-12.6 | 145.3 | 14% | 73–67 | ✓ |
|
|
-9.8 | 128.0 | 16% | 69–61 | ✓ |
|
|
-8.4 | 156.5 | 23% | 68–72 | ✗ |
Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.