Oh workers can you stand it, oh tell me how you can? Will you be a lousy scab or will you be a man? "Which Side Are You On?" - Pete Seeger
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Baseline Tuned — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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41–7 on winners spread MAE 13.3 90 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Oakland @ Purdue +19.4 147.7 89% 77–87 ✓
Valparaiso @ Kentucky +14.9 136.7 85% 59–107 ✓
Kansas @ North Carolina +6.5 145.4 72% 74–87 ✓
Arkansas State @ Stephen F. Austin — — — 65–90 —
Alabama State @ Florida State — — — 64–101 —
Winthrop @ George Mason +9.1 138.3 76% 90–96 ✓
Troy @ Furman -5.1 157.8 28% 64–61 ✓
Hofstra @ Iona — — — 73–81 —
Washington State @ Davidson — — — 69–85 —
Western Illinois @ Iowa +12.5 149.7 84% 58–77 ✓
Cornell @ Kent State — — — 102–110 —
Tennessee Tech @ Charlotte +10.8 147.3 80% 65–70 ✓
Georgia State @ Cincinnati +16.1 141.2 87% 64–74 ✓
Siena @ Brown — — — 62–46 —
Morehead State @ Wake Forest — — — 65–81 —
North Carolina Central @ Virginia +20.9 149.8 90% 62–81 ✓
Longwood @ Pittsburgh — — — 60–78 —
Detroit Mercy @ Notre Dame +14.9 148.4 87% 70–102 ✓
Sacred Heart @ Duquesne — — — 80–92 —
Gardner-Webb @ Clemson +20.2 137.5 89% 59–97 ✓
Bucknell @ Mount St. Mary's +4.8 140.0 70% 73–62 ✗
UMass Lowell @ UConn — — — 47–110 —
UL Monroe @ Ole Miss +14.9 148.7 86% 65–86 ✓
Wagner @ Seton Hall +16.0 142.7 87% 61–68 ✓
Bryant @ Georgia Tech +2.4 133.8 57% 45–74 ✓
Sam Houston @ Texas Tech — — — 77–98 —
Southeast Missouri State @ Missouri +20.0 144.7 90% 84–89 ✓
Kansas City @ Southern Illinois — — — 78–101 —
Mississippi Valley State @ Murray State +17.6 150.1 90% 60–108 ✓
Stonehill @ DePaul — — — 64–72 —
VCU @ Utah State — — — 77–80 —
Nicholls @ Eastern Illinois +10.9 133.9 82% 57–65 ✓
Florida Gulf Coast @ Illinois — — — 70–113 —
Northern Illinois @ Wisconsin +12.9 155.4 84% 72–97 ✓
South Carolina State @ Samford +13.8 143.8 88% 72–82 ✓
VMI @ Southern Indiana — — — 78–74 —
SE Louisiana @ Louisiana +8.3 141.3 79% 52–58 ✓
Utah Tech @ Arizona +8.9 150.2 74% 67–93 ✓
Idaho State @ San Diego — — — 71–68 —
Youngstown State @ Grand Canyon +11.0 143.7 80% 90–81 ✗
Yale @ Navy — — — 97–68 —
UAB @ NC State +7.1 152.9 77% 70–94 ✓
Rice @ Oregon — — — 63–67 —
McNeese @ Santa Clara — — — 67–79 —
UIC @ Oregon State +3.2 143.4 63% 73–76 ✓
Pepperdine @ UCLA — — — 63–74 —
Chattanooga @ Saint Mary's — — — 66–87 —
California Baptist @ UC Irvine — — — 69–61 —
Alabama @ St. John's +11.5 155.8 83% 103–96 ✗
Alcorn State @ Minnesota +11.9 147.3 83% 50–95 ✓
Princeton @ Akron — — — 69–104 —
Kennesaw State @ Florida A&M — — — 92–72 —
Penn State @ New Haven -0.8 134.8 44% 87–43 ✓
Florida International @ Nebraska — — — 66–96 —
Drexel @ Saint Joseph's — — — 65–76 —
Delaware State @ Syracuse +16.3 140.3 87% 43–83 ✓
Western Carolina @ Duke +16.2 141.4 89% 54–95 ✓
South Florida @ George Washington -0.4 140.1 48% 95–99 ✗
Texas State @ Tulane +14.7 141.3 85% 71–79 ✓
Marshall @ Toledo -4.5 145.5 26% 85–73 ✓
Fairfield @ NJIT +11.6 139.9 84% 74–53 ✗
Milwaukee @ Wofford +4.1 141.8 69% 76–86 ✓
UMBC @ Dayton — — — 71–77 —
Niagara @ Binghamton +0.2 139.5 56% 67–59 ✗
Fairleigh Dickinson @ Saint Peter's +4.2 134.0 70% 83–93 ✓
Towson @ Houston +7.4 136.5 70% 48–65 ✓
Northern Kentucky @ Tennessee — — — 56–95 —
UNC Asheville @ Georgia Southern +8.9 145.5 79% 90–93 ✓
Lafayette @ Texas +0.6 142.2 53% 60–97 ✓
San Francisco @ Memphis — — — 70–76 —
Monmouth @ La Salle — — — 60–73 —
San José State @ UC Santa Barbara — — — 74–85 —
Elon @ UNC Greensboro — — — 92–90 —
William & Mary @ Norfolk State — — — 81–78 —
Vanderbilt @ UCF -0.1 149.5 49% 105–93 ✓
UT Arlington @ New Mexico — — — 56–74 —
Utah Valley @ Boise State — — — 77–101 —
Cal State Fullerton @ Wyoming — — — 82–92 —
Austin Peay @ Air Force — — — 74–54 —
Eastern Washington @ Colorado +4.1 143.8 61% 97–102 ✓
Montana @ Stanford — — — 68–91 —
Canisius @ St. Bonaventure +13.1 135.3 87% 70–89 ✓
Providence @ Virginia Tech +7.1 149.6 77% 101–107 ✓
Long Beach State @ Fresno State +5.0 130.2 65% 62–82 ✓
IU Indianapolis @ Butler +18.3 157.1 88% 80–112 ✓
Maine @ Stony Brook — — — 60–71 —
UAlbany @ Massachusetts +3.9 136.8 64% 62–83 ✓
Florida Atlantic @ Charleston +0.6 149.8 59% 94–77 ✗
East Tennessee State @ Presbyterian — — — 64–68 —
East Carolina @ Richmond — — — 72–87 —

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.