Betting Lines
| Spread | UNC -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 159.5 Over |
| Money | UNC -150 KU +130 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UNC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UNC +13 | 161 | Won |
| Massey | UNC -14.8 (-1.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.2 (+13.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 94% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Model 3 ML | UNC -6.5 (+6.5) | 145.4 (+15.6) | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UNC -8.1 (+4.9) | 140.9 (+20.1) | 73% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 9, 2024 | KU 92 – 89 UNC |
| Apr 5, 2022 | KU 72 – 69 UNC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UNC | KU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24-9 | 24-11 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 12-6 |
| Home | 18-0 | 13-2 |
| Away | 4-6 | 5-6 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 6-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-0 | 1-0 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 79.7 | 75.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.6 | 69.1 |
| Massey | 7.4 (#32) | 10.5 (#12) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.34 (#82) | 0.30 (#126) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.53 (#57) | 0.47 (#104) |
| RPI | — | 0.500 (#10) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UNC | KU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 50.8% | 56.9% |
| 3PT% | 34.5% | 37.0% |
| REB / G | 45.0 | 44.0 |
| OREB / G | 12.0 | 9.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.92 | 6.67 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 58.5% | 65.5% |
| TOV% | 15.9% | 4.7% |
| ORB% | 37.5% | 32.1% |
| FT Rate | 27.7% | 31.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 37.5% | 35.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.6% | 12.2% |
| DRB% | 76.7% | 83.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 9.4% | 19.6% |
Game Analysis
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