Betting Lines
| Spread | KU -7.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 160.5 Over |
| Money | KU -380 UNC +290 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | KU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | KU +3 | 181 | Won |
| Massey | KU -21.8 (-18.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 153.1 (+27.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 92% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Model 3 ML | KU -11.3 (-8.3) | 149.7 (+31.3) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | KU -13.4 (-10.4) | 147.3 (+33.7) | 83% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 8, 2025 | UNC 87 – 74 KU |
| Apr 5, 2022 | KU 72 – 69 UNC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | KU | UNC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-13 | 23-14 |
| Conference | 11-9 | 13-7 |
| Home | 14-3 | 12-3 |
| Away | 4-8 | 6-6 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 5-5 |
| Last 5 | 1-0 | 1-0 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.1 | 80.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.6 | 74.7 |
| Massey | 4.5 (#65) | -0.8 (#159) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.38 (#85) | 0.38 (#98) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.55 (#78) | 0.50 (#102) |
| RPI | — | — |
| Shooting & Four Factors | KU | UNC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 60.4% | 40.0% |
| 3PT% | 50.0% | 40.6% |
| REB / G | 34.0 | 43.0 |
| OREB / G | 5.0 | 18.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.43 | 3.67 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 70.8% | 48.1% |
| TOV% | 20.1% | 7.9% |
| ORB% | 21.7% | 37.5% |
| FT Rate | 22.6% | 16.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 44.8% | 53.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 23.4% | 21.7% |
| DRB% | 78.4% | 71.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 8.6% | 18.0% |
Game Analysis
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