Betting Lines
| Spread | MILW -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 150.5 Over |
| Money | WOF +135 MILW -155 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WOF win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WOF +10 | 162 | Won |
| Massey | WOF -20.6 (-10.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.7 (+14.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 88% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 93% ✓ |
| Model 3 ML | WOF -4.1 (+5.9) | 141.8 (+20.2) | 69% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WOF -5.2 (+4.8) | 134.6 (+27.4) | 65% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 23, 2024 | MILW 76 – 74 WOF |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WOF | MILW |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-13 | 12-20 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 8-12 |
| Home | 10-5 | 9-6 |
| Away | 9-7 | 3-14 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 0-1 | 1-0 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 78.4 | 74.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.6 | 79.9 |
| Massey | -2.0 (#185) | -4.6 (#232) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.34 (#232) | 0.34 (#77) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.50 (#207) | 0.37 (#132) |
| RPI | — | — |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WOF | MILW |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 30.0% | 41.4% |
| 3PT% | 20.7% | 31.0% |
| REB / G | 32.0 | 48.0 |
| OREB / G | 10.0 | 21.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.62 | 2.22 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 36.0% | 47.9% |
| TOV% | 25.2% | 11.5% |
| ORB% | 25.6% | 41.2% |
| FT Rate | 20.0% | 32.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.7% | 48.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.0% | 22.2% |
| DRB% | 73.3% | 62.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.8% | 39.7% |
Game Analysis
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