Betting Lines
| Spread | MSM -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Under |
| Money | MSM -125 BUCK +105 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MSM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BUCK +11 | 135 | Lost |
| Massey | MSM -19.9 (-30.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.0 (-7.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 88% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 93% ✗ |
| Model 3 ML | MSM -4.8 (-15.8) | 140.0 (-5.0) | 70% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | MSM -5.1 (-16.1) | 135.3 (-0.3) | 66% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 14, 2024 | MSM 93 – 89 BUCK |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MSM | BUCK |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-17 | 10-23 |
| Conference | 11-9 | 6-12 |
| Home | 8-5 | 6-8 |
| Away | 7-11 | 4-13 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 0-1 | 1-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.9 | 67.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.0 | 76.3 |
| Massey | -1.3 (#175) | -3.3 (#208) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.30 (#161) | 0.34 (#59) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.41 (#167) | 0.42 (#121) |
| RPI | 0.500 (#10) | — |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MSM | BUCK |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.1% | 45.2% |
| 3PT% | 29.4% | 41.7% |
| REB / G | 38.0 | 42.0 |
| OREB / G | 8.0 | 12.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.50 | 1.08 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 44.6% | 53.2% |
| TOV% | 29.8% | 18.7% |
| ORB% | 25.8% | 35.3% |
| FT Rate | 28.3% | 19.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.0% | 46.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 13.3% | 16.5% |
| DRB% | 83.3% | 71.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 47.9% | 17.2% |
Game Analysis
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